Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 7.113508 7.842569 8.621108 9.515526 10.516146 11.602726 12.874179
2025-11-23 5.944888 6.954366 8.106547 9.523979 11.227671 13.218002 15.731676
2025-11-30 5.227327 6.427620 7.877084 9.768388 12.188618 15.205302 19.286672
2025-12-07 4.562970 5.849840 7.479454 9.715369 12.735726 16.720201 22.451148
2025-12-14 3.989935 5.299642 7.026788 9.501493 13.006050 17.866679 25.251274
2025-12-21 3.590833 4.922099 6.742397 9.454536 13.464086 19.287349 28.597443
2025-12-28 3.352364 4.731694 6.682551 9.698232 14.342520 21.392680 33.236759
2026-01-04 3.136116 4.545045 6.599801 9.884861 15.138339 23.448449 38.075595
2026-01-11 2.912929 4.322572 6.435728 9.918610 15.683113 25.153263 42.560036
2026-01-18 2.690476 4.078188 6.210735 9.824099 15.995381 26.493590 46.583407
2026-01-25 2.486529 3.843114 5.975915 9.683276 16.202927 27.662341 50.443592
2026-02-01 2.307481 3.631633 5.758281 9.544831 16.390364 28.802968 54.399102
2026-02-08 2.146749 3.440361 5.562753 9.434219 16.631928 30.103868 58.949832
2026-02-15 2.012127 3.281872 5.408902 9.381948 16.975330 31.642951 64.255876
2026-02-22 1.933543 3.211863 5.400159 9.590442 17.835445 34.303359 72.427296
2026-03-01 1.818788 3.069655 5.251812 9.522364 18.143784 35.882646 78.461108
2026-03-08 1.693094 2.898408 5.037010 9.305217 18.124402 36.767592 83.026694
2026-03-15 1.602418 2.783162 4.914706 9.255251 18.441222 38.411927 89.713246
2026-03-22 1.556718 2.746531 4.935182 9.490982 19.389279 41.585602 100.849576
2026-03-29 1.507095 2.698631 4.929759 9.671976 20.237477 44.646754 112.308841
2026-04-05 1.443445 2.619414 4.857086 9.704323 20.754540 46.992564 122.294479
2026-04-12 1.370632 2.517483 4.731763 9.611818 20.972609 48.635564 130.621273
2026-04-19 1.298491 2.412093 4.591762 9.474275 21.068572 49.984028 138.362535